If we replay evolution, would humans evolve again?
Imagine that you could go back to the moment when life began and let evolution start all over again. Would the same organisms appear? Would evolution follow the same path? Would humans eventually evolve? In a completely deterministic universe, knowing the exact initial conditions and the physical laws that govern it, we could, in principle, predict subsequent events, and even evolution would unfold exactly as it did. This conclusion seems plausible and, if we stop here, it would make this article very short. But what happens if we consider the role of chance in evolution? The thought experiment of Stephen Jay Gould, presented in Wonderful Life: The Burgess Shale and the Nature of History (1989), tries to answer the very question that makes up the title of this article. It consists of four steps: 1) travel back millions of years in the history of life, for example, to the Cambrian period, more than 500 million years ago; 2) erase all subsequent evolutionary history; 3) let evolution unf...